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RE

RARE ELEMENT RESOURCES LTD (REEMF)·Q2 2015 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2015 showed continued progress on separation technology and permitting, while losses narrowed year over year: net loss of $2.1M ($0.04/share) vs $3.1M ($0.06/share) in Q2 2014, driven by lower exploration and corporate admin costs, partially offset by FX .
  • Liquidity improved: cash ended Q2 at $8.4M (vs $7.5M at 3/31/15), reflecting a $3.1M April financing that more than offset $2.2M cash used in the quarter; management believes cash is sufficient for planned 2015 activities .
  • Project timeline updated: Draft EIS expected in 2H15 (unchanged), but Final Record of Decision shifted to 2H16 (from 1H16 previously), extending the regulatory path; pilot plant separation testing targeted for completion by year-end 2015 .
  • No production revenue yet; management emphasized strategic importance of a North American rare earth supply chain, highlighting magnet materials demand and Bear Lodge’s critical REE mix as long-term drivers .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Demonstrated high-purity separated rare earth products using an innovative process, advancing to a larger-scale pilot plant to produce separated products for potential off‑take partners (“to demonstrate… meet their specifications”) .
    • Cost discipline: YoY decline in net loss on lower exploration/evaluation (-$0.8M) and corporate admin (-$0.3M) expenses in Q2 .
    • Strengthened liquidity: $3.1M direct registered financing in April offset $2.2M quarterly burn, lifting quarter-end cash to $8.4M .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Regulatory timeline slippage: Final ROD now expected in 2H16 vs prior expectation of 1H16, extending project uncertainty and pushing potential commissioning timing .
    • FX headwinds: $0.2M unfavorable variance in currency translation partially offset cost reductions in Q2 .
    • Macro rare earth volatility persists; management noted dramatic market changes even as long-term demand fundamentals remain positive, underscoring near-term pricing uncertainty .

Financial Results

Quarterly trend (oldest → newest):

MetricQ4 2014Q1 2015Q2 2015
RevenueNo production-related revenue No production-related revenue No production-related revenue
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$2.9 $2.5 (derived from 1H15 $4.6 minus Q2 $2.1) $2.1
Diluted EPS (Loss)$(0.06) n/a$(0.04)
Cash & Equivalents (period-end)$10.1M (12/31/14) $7.5M (3/31/15) $8.4M (6/30/15)
Cash Used (Quarter)n/an/a$2.2M
Financing Raised (Quarter)n/an/a$3.1M (April direct registered)

YoY comparison for the quarter:

MetricQ2 2014Q2 2015
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$3.1 $2.1
Diluted EPS (Loss)$(0.06) $(0.04)
RevenueNo production-related revenue No production-related revenue

Notes:

  • Company remains pre‑revenue; no production-related revenues reported .
  • Q1 2015 net loss is a simple arithmetic derivation from reported 1H15 and Q2 figures .

No segment reporting is applicable; the company is a pre-revenue developer focused on the Bear Lodge Project .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Draft EIS availability20152H 2015 2H 2015 Maintained
Final Record of Decision (ROD)20161H 2016 2H 2016 Lowered (delayed)
Pilot plant separation testing completion2015n/aBy end of 2015 New
Construction duration post-development decisionn/an/a12–16 months New context
Commissioning earliest timing2017As early as mid‑2017 (subject to permits & financing) Not reiterated; dependent on sequential milestones and 12–16 months build Not updated explicitly

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q2 2015 earnings call transcript was located in our database; themes are drawn from company press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2014)Previous Mentions (Q1 2015)Current Period (Q2 2015)Trend
Permitting/EISAlternatives selected; Draft EIS expected 2H15; ROD 1H16 No Q1 2015 8‑K/press release located in systemDraft EIS expected 2H15; ROD now 2H16 Timeline extended for ROD
Separation technologyInitial elemental separation work and patents filed in 2014 n/aHigh‑purity products achieved; pilot plant under development to produce separated products for potential off‑take Meaningful progress
Financing/liquidityCash $10.1M at 12/31/14 $7.5M at 3/31/15 $8.4M at 6/30/15; $3.1M April raise Adequate for 2015 plan
Market/macron/an/aRare earth market volatility noted; long‑term magnet materials demand emphasized Mixed near‑term, positive LT
Off‑take/commercialn/an/aPlan to provide separated product samples; ongoing discussions with potential off‑takers Building commercial traction

Management Commentary

  • “During the quarter, we reported our success at producing high‑purity separated rare earth products using our innovative process… We are excited to build on this success… developing a larger‑scale, pilot plant… to demonstrate to potential off‑take partners our ability to meet their specifications.” – Randall J. Scott, President & CEO .
  • “The final Record of Decision (ROD)… is currently expected in the second half of 2016… We also submitted applications for two important permits… Our goal is to secure all the permits and licenses necessary to operate at approximately the same time as the final documents from the EIS process become available.” .
  • “While the rare earth market has seen some dramatic changes… Longer‑term demand fundamentals remain positive… Prices are also expected to increase as Chinese firms deal with… regulatory costs, new resource taxes and environmental issues.” .

Q&A Highlights

No Q2 2015 earnings call transcript or Q&A session was available in our document set; no analyst Q&A to summarize [List results show none: 0 earnings-call-transcript for 2015].

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates (S&P Global) for Q2 2015 EPS and revenue were unavailable or could not be retrieved due to data limits; no comparison to consensus is provided. As a pre‑revenue developer, the company does not report production revenue, and EPS is primarily driven by operating costs and FX .
  • Where estimates are unavailable, investors should focus on operational milestones (EIS timing, pilot plant progress) and cash runway as the primary drivers of value near term .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Cost actions are working: Q2 net loss narrowed to $2.1M ($0.04) vs $3.1M ($0.06) YoY, driven by reduced exploration (-$0.8M) and admin (-$0.3M) costs, partially offset by FX (-$0.2M) .
  • Regulatory timeline pushed: ROD moved from 1H16 to 2H16, modestly extending the path to project sanctioning and potential commissioning .
  • Technical de‑risking advancing: high‑purity separated products achieved; pilot plant targeted to complete testing by year‑end 2015, enabling qualified samples for off‑take discussions—an important commercial catalyst .
  • Liquidity supports 2015 plan: $8.4M cash at 6/30/15 after $3.1M financing, with management indicating sufficiency for current 2015 activities; monitor burn (~$2.2M in Q2) and potential future financing needs .
  • Macro remains a swing factor: rare earth price volatility persists, but management emphasizes long‑term demand for magnet materials and North American supply chain importance—potentially supportive over time .
  • Near‑term trading focus: watch for Draft EIS (2H15) and pilot plant test completion (by YE15) as catalysts; any slippage or positive validation from off‑take partners could move shares .

KPIs and Operating Milestones

KPI / MilestoneQ4 2014Q1 2015Q2 2015
Cash & Equivalents (period-end)$10.1M (12/31/14) $7.5M (3/31/15) $8.4M (6/30/15)
Quarterly Cash Usedn/an/a$2.2M
Financing Proceedsn/an/a$3.1M (April)
Draft EIS Timing2H15 expected (forward-looking) 2H15 expected 2H15 expected
Final ROD Timing1H16 expected 1H16 expected 2H16 expected
Separation TechnologyInitial elemental separation work reported in 2014 n/aHigh‑purity separated products achieved; pilot plant under development; pilot testing by YE15
Off‑take Engagementsn/an/aOngoing; plan to provide separated product samples

Additional Details and Cross-References

  • Six-month 2015 net loss was $4.6M ($0.09/share) vs $7.5M ($0.16/share) in 1H14, reflecting lower exploration (-$2.5M) and admin (-$0.6M) costs, partly offset by FX and derivative mark-to-market (+$0.2M unfavorable) .
  • Cash sufficiency: management states 6/30/15 cash “believed to be sufficient to conduct our currently planned 2015 activities,” with flexibility to defer/reduce spend if warranted .
  • Development path: Engineering studies, larger-scale demonstration plant, feasibility study, off‑take agreements, and permits are prerequisites to construction; construction estimated 12–16 months post decision .

Citations:

  • Q2 2015 8‑K/press release and operational update ; filing context .
  • Prior period (Q4 2014) 8‑K/press release for baseline and guidance history .